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  • Title: [Mexico City: a new course in its growth rate].
    Author: Partida Bush V.
    Journal: Demos; 1994; (7):13-4. PubMed ID: 12158058.
    Abstract:
    Mexico City, like other large cities, has entered a phase of slower growth which has led to revision in the projected future population of the metropolitan area. Rapid and sustained growth at a rate of over 5% annually between 1921 and 1970 justified the UN projection of 31 million inhabitants by the year 2000. National projections were more conservative. If the goals of the National Population Council for internal migration were met, the population would be 23.4 million. The 1980 census showed that the population was slightly under 13 million, substantially below the 15 million projected for that year. The revised UN projection was 24.4 million in 2000, which would make Mexico City the world's largest urban conglomeration. The 1990 census indicated a population of 15 million in the Mexico City metropolitan area. The intense movement to Mexico City over the course of the twentieth century was due to the concentration of political, industrial, and financial activity, urban services and infrastructure, and public and private health, educational, and cultural facilities in the capital on the one hand, and the backwardness of many of the nation's other regions on the other. The abrupt decline in Mexico City's growth rate after 1970 was due to both fertility decline and decline in in-migration. The rate of out-migration has also increased. Government policies calling for decentralization of public and private enterprises and the near prohibition of new industries in the Valley of Mexico, together with growing problems in the quality of life, environment, and public safety in Mexico City have been factors in the slowing expansion. New projections based on existing trends are for a population of 17 million in the year 2000 and 18.4 million in 2010.
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