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  • Title: The influence of fertility, early housing-career, and socioeconomic factors on tenure determination in contemporary Britain.
    Author: Murphy MJ.
    Journal: Environ Plan A; 1984 Oct; 16(10):1303-18. PubMed ID: 12266536.
    Abstract:
    The time-dependent proportional hazards model is used to analyse 1st achievement by married couples of a home in 1 of the 2 major British housing tenures: owner-occupation and local authority accomodation. The effect of demographic and socioeconomic influences such as age at marriage, social class, and previous housing and fertility histories were estimated using a combination of life table and regression approaches applied to data for 3 marriage cohorts in the Office of Population Censuses and Survey's 1976 Family Formation Survey. All the factors considered have strong individual influence on final tenure. However, tenure type achieved is not determined by a single variable, but rather by a combination of factors which tend to reinforce each other. A couple with manual occupation, early marriage and child bearing, and starting their married life in shared local authority accomodation are extremely likely to become local authority tenants themselves. Factors conducive to achieving owner-occupation are likely to have the reverse effect for local authority housing. The key factors seem to be achievement of the alternative major housing tenure, social class, the birth of the 1st and 3rd children (although there is also substantial evidence that timing factors are important as well as numbers), and to a lesser effect (except at values well away from the average) age at marriage. In general, the absolute magnitudes of the estimated effects on achieving local authority accomodation were larger than the effects on owner-occupation. This may tend to reflect the rather more homogeneous characteristics of local authority tenants compared with owner-occupiers.
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