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  • Title: Some indirect estimates of fertility from 1980 census data in Kuwait.
    Author: Kohli KL, Al Omaim M.
    Journal: Popul Bull U N Econ Comm West Asia; 1985 Jun; (26):39-62. PubMed ID: 12267383.
    Abstract:
    This paper studies levels and patterns of fertility separately for nationals and immigrant populations in Kuwait from the 1980 Census Data. For this purpose, 3 revised and new demographic techniques were used and reliability of outcome checked by comparing results against 1 another. The techniques are the Brass P/F technique, the Gompertz relational model (Brass 1977), and a method based on estimation of fertility from number of children ever-born, tabulated by duration of marriage (Coale, Hill, and Trussel 1975). The estimates based on census questions also serve to verify the estimates obtained directly from vital registration data. Results show that the fertility rates of the native population derived from different techniques are very close, and the patterns of fertility derived from census data and viltal registration data are quite similar. For the non-Kuwait population, the rates derived by different methods are not as reliable as for the native population. The level of non-Kuwait fertility is lower than their Kuwait counterparts, and the registered rates are lower than the estimates derived from census estimates. Although it is difficult to be certain about the extent of underregistration of births of non-Kuwaitis, it seems that 10-15% of non-Kuwaiti births are omitted from the registration system. When the fertility data are plotted by age, the similarity in the pattern of fertility between Kuwaitis and non-Kuwaitis becomes clearer For both groups, the peak age of fertility is in the age group 25-29. The curve from the registration data is very close to the curve from the census dats. Thus, it seems that the registration data around 1980 underestimate the level of fertility but give a nearly accurate picture of the age pattern of non-Kuwaite fertility.
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