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  • Title: [Population forecasts 1984: hypotheses on nuptiality].
    Author: Beets Gcn, Cruijsen Hgjm.
    Journal: Maandstat Bevolking; 1985 Oct; 33(10):50-68. PubMed ID: 12267390.
    Abstract:
    The assumptions and hypotheses concerning nuptiality used in the official 1984 population forecasts for the Netherlands are presented. These assumptions, based on a study of the relevant literature and on trend analysis, postulate a decline in probabilities of first marriage and in the incidence of widowing and remarriage; and an increase in nonmarital cohabitation, age at marriage, and incidence of divorce. Projections of first marriage, divorce, widowing, and remarriage rates for female birth cohorts through the end of this century are then computed, and the methods used in deriving these projections are discussed.
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