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  • Title: A lognormal model for divorce by marriage cohort.
    Author: Agrafiotis GK.
    Journal: Hum Relat; 1981 Oct; 34(10):835-45. PubMed ID: 12279679.
    Abstract:
    "In this paper a model to predict the cumulative divorce trajectory of marriage cohorts has been developed on the assumption that the distribution of the lengths of exposure to marriage of a marriage cohort is lognormal. It is found that on the basis of recently published data [for the United States for the period 1949-1958] the model provides a good fit to cohort divorce trajectories and compares favorably with previously published models on the same subject."
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