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  • Title: Demographic changes and local public expenditure in a macroeconomic perspective. Some Norwegian examples.
    Author: Ljones O, Aamdal K.
    Journal: Stat J UN Econ Comm Eur; 1991; 8(1):45-55. PubMed ID: 12284833.
    Abstract:
    The impact of demographic aging and changes in the age structure on local government expenditures for social services in Norway is analyzed and projected. "To model the production of the local government sector, we have developed a macro model which reflects the coverage of different services according to demographic characteristics and standards defined as man-hours per client.... The results of a simulation show that demographic changes are of minor importance for local government expenditures in most sectors when compared to changes in standard and coverage rates....Results [also] indicate that a shift in standards and coverages in different client sectors would have rather important effects on the Norwegian economy."
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