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  • Title: The impact of HIV: a closely-guarded secret.
    Author: Whiteside A, Decosas J.
    Journal: AIDS Anal Afr; 1995 Oct; 5(5):12-3. PubMed ID: 12290454.
    Abstract:
    More than ten million people in sub-Saharan Africa, almost 3% of the subcontinent's population, are infected with HIV. Some countries in the South of the subcontinent report prevalence rates of 9%. Many industries have hired analysts and forecasters to help guide them through the epidemic, while police and armed forces have conducted detailed investigations into the impact of HIV. Intelligence agencies routinely hire consultants to analyze and forecast the impact of HIV in selected regions. The results of these studies and forecasts, however, are closely guarded. The many studies on the health care costs of AIDS concur that the HIV/AIDS epidemic is expensive in economic terms. There are virtually no published studies on how the African epidemic of HIV will affect the supply, demand, and quality of healthcare. The demand for care has received the greatest attention. The authors discuss how the AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa may affect health care personnel.
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