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  • Title: [Fertility model and population projection].
    Author: Shu C.
    Journal: Renkou Yanjiu; 1986 Mar; (2):54-7. PubMed ID: 12341135.
    Abstract:
    Different models for projecting fertility rates for the projection of population, are discussed. It is suggested that the age span cumulative fertility rate (ASCFR) can replace the traditional age span fertility rate because the former is more accurate. A gradual decrease from the highest childbearing age (49) to lower ages will yield fertility rates at all ages based on the ASCFR curve.
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