These tools will no longer be maintained as of December 31, 2024. Archived website can be found here. PubMed4Hh GitHub repository can be found here. Contact NLM Customer Service if you have questions.


Pubmed for Handhelds

PUBMED FOR HANDHELDS

Search MEDLINE/PubMed

  • Title: Sources of uncertainty in pesticide fate modelling.
    Author: Dubus IG, Brown CD, Beulke S.
    Journal: Sci Total Environ; 2003 Dec 30; 317(1-3):53-72. PubMed ID: 14630412.
    Abstract:
    There is worldwide interest in the application of probabilistic approaches to pesticide fate models to account for uncertainty in exposure assessments. The first steps in conducting a probabilistic analysis of any system are: (i) to identify where the uncertainties come from; and (ii) to pinpoint those uncertainties that are likely to affect most of the predictions made. This article aims at addressing those two points within the context of exposure assessment for pesticides through a review of the different sources of uncertainty in pesticide fate modelling. The extensive listing of sources of uncertainty clearly demonstrates that pesticide fate modelling is laced with uncertainty. More importantly, the review suggests that the probabilistic approaches, which are typically being deployed to account for uncertainty in the pesticide fate modelling, such as Monte Carlo modelling, ignore a number of key sources of uncertainty, which are likely to have a significant effect on the prediction of environmental concentrations for pesticides (e.g. model error, modeller subjectivity). Future research should concentrate on quantifying the impact these uncertainties have on exposure assessments and on developing procedures that enable their integration within probabilistic assessments.
    [Abstract] [Full Text] [Related] [New Search]