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  • Title: Effect of revised population counts on county-level Hispanic teen birthrates--United States, 1999.
    Author: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
    Journal: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep; 2004 Oct 15; 53(40):946-9. PubMed ID: 15483529.
    Abstract:
    In 2002, teen birthrates for Hispanics were higher than for all other racial/ethnic populations. Because of the health and social risks associated with teen births, pregnancy prevention programs and accurate surveillance of teen birthrates are critical. To assess the effect of using revised population estimates for the 1990s (intercensal estimates) that take into account both the 1990 and 2000 U.S. Census counts, CDC analyzed county-level estimates of Hispanic teen birthrates for 1999. This report summarizes the results of that analysis, which indicated that Hispanic teen birthrates for 1999, when calculated on the basis of the 2000 census, were lower than birthrates based on the 1990 census for the majority of counties with substantial Hispanic populations. Population estimates for 1999 based on the 1990 census (postcensal estimates) had failed to capture the unprecedented and unanticipated migration of Hispanics, thereby overestimating the Hispanic teen birthrate. However, the increase in the Hispanic teen population and the corresponding decrease in Hispanic teen birthrates for 1999 were not experienced by all counties. This county-level variation provides essential information for programs targeting Hispanic teens at the county level.
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