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  • Title: Individual cyclists' probability distributions of severe/fatal crashes in large French urban areas.
    Author: de Lapparent M.
    Journal: Accid Anal Prev; 2005 Nov; 37(6):1086-92. PubMed ID: 16029870.
    Abstract:
    The present article deals with individual cyclists' probabilities of severe injury or death from a bicycle accident. We use an empirical Bayesian method to conduct an analysis of the fatal/severe probability distribution of a bicycle accident, at the level of individuals, in dense French urban areas. Among intuitive results, it is found that wearing a helmet lowers the average probability of such a crash; it is also shown that young bicyclists are, on average, more exposed to severe and/or fatal crashes. Finally, the results highlight a decrease of attention paid by all types of road users following road infrastructure improvements in favor of cyclists.
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