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  • Title: FluSurge--a tool to estimate demand for hospital services during the next pandemic influenza.
    Author: Zhang X, Meltzer MI, Wortley PM.
    Journal: Med Decis Making; 2006; 26(6):617-23. PubMed ID: 17099200.
    Abstract:
    PURPOSE: To assess the impact of pandemic influenza on hospital services. METHODS: Based on census data and estimates of hospital resources (non-ICU [intensive care unit] beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators) in a given area, FluSurge software estimates the number of hospital admissions and deaths due to pandemic influenza under variable duration and virulence scenarios and compares hospital resources needed during a pandemic with existing hospital resources. RESULTS: Sample results from Metropolitan Atlanta illustrate how the next influenza pandemic may overwhelm existing hospital resources, given that hospitals increasingly operate at nearly full capacity. CONCLUSIONS: Hospitals need to consider and plan for a surge in demand for hospital services during the next influenza pandemic.
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