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  • Title: Cervical length and the risk of spontaneous labor at term.
    Author: Tolaymat LL, Gonzalez-Quintero VH, Sanchez-Ramos L, Kaunitz A, Wludyka P, O'Sullivan MJ, Martin D.
    Journal: J Perinatol; 2007 Dec; 27(12):749-53. PubMed ID: 17762846.
    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between cervical length (CL) at 37 to 40 weeks and delivery within 7 days and delivery by 41 weeks. STUDY DESIGN: We performed transvaginal ultrasound to measure CL in women with singleton gestations at 37 to 40 weeks. We then used a receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) to assess the relationship between CL and delivery within 7 days and delivery by 41 weeks. RESULT: For the 120 women included in the analysis, the mean CL (+/-s.d.) was 25.3+/-9.8 mm. The logistic regression model to predict each of the outcomes includes gestational age at ultrasound (GA-US) and CL. Neither birthweight, nor parity seems to affect the probability of delivery within 7 days. The ROC curve was used to assess the probability of spontaneous labor within 7 days at each CL measurement. The likelihood ratio of delivery within 7 days when CL is < or = 10 mm is 12. CONCLUSION: CL measurement at 37-40 weeks is an independent predictor of delivery within 7 days and delivery by 41 weeks regardless of GA-US. This information can be utilized when counseling patients regarding the management of term pregnancies.
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