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  • Title: Predictive value of repeated versus single N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide measurements early after-myocardial infarction.
    Author: Sandhu S, Har BJ, Aggarwal SG, Kavanagh KM, Ramadan D, Exner DV, REFINE Investigators.
    Journal: Pacing Clin Electrophysiol; 2009 Mar; 32 Suppl 1():S86-9. PubMed ID: 19250120.
    Abstract:
    BACKGROUND: A single, markedly elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) serum concentration predicts an increased risk of death after myocardial infarction (MI), though its sensitivity and predictive accuracy are low. We compared the predictive value of a modestly and persistently elevated, versus a single, markedly elevated measurement of N terminal pro-BNP (NT-BNP) early after MI. METHODS AND RESULTS: NT-BNP was measured 2-4, 6-10, and 14-18 weeks after MI. The median age of the 100 patients was 61 years, median left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 0.40, and 88% were males. Over a median follow-up of 39 months, 10 patients died. The initial median NT-BNP was 802 pg/mL and declined over time (P = 0.002). An initial NT-BNP > or =2,300 pg/mL (upper quintile) was observed in 19 patients and predicted a 3.4-fold higher independent risk of death (P = 0.05), with modest sensitivity (30%) and positive predictive accuracy (16%). A NT-BNP consistently > or =1,200 pg/mL (upper tertile) was observed in 19 patients, and was associated with a 5.7-fold higher independent risk of death (P = 0.01), with a higher sensitivity (50%) and positive predictive accuracy (26%) than a single, markedly elevated NT-BNP measurement. CONCLUSIONS: A moderately and persistently elevated NT-BNP in the early post-MI period was associated with a 5.7-fold higher risk of death, independent of age, LVEF, and functional class. Compared with a single measurement, serial NT-BNP measurements early after MI were more accurate predictors of risk of death.
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