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  • Title: Echocardiographic Predictors of Progression to Persistent or Permanent Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation (E6P Study).
    Author: Yoon YE, Oh IY, Kim SA, Park KH, Kim SH, Park JH, Kim JE, Lee SP, Kim HK, Kim YJ, Sohn DW, Cho GY.
    Journal: J Am Soc Echocardiogr; 2015 Jun; 28(6):709-17. PubMed ID: 25704553.
    Abstract:
    BACKGROUNDS: Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently, but not always, progresses to persistent/permanent AF. The aim of this study was to evaluate the echocardiographic predictors of AF progression in patients with paroxysmal AF. METHODS: A multicenter, prospective, observational study was conducted that included 313 patients with paroxysmal AF who underwent two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography. The diameter, volume, and mechanical function of the left atrium, including global strain (ε) and ε rate, were measured. RESULTS: Progression to persistent or permanent AF occurred in 52 patients (16.6%) during a median follow-up period of 26 months. Echocardiographic measure of left atrial (LA) diameter, volume, and function (E velocity, E/A and E/e' ratio, LA expansion index, active emptying fraction, global longitudinal ε and ε rate) were associated with AF progression. LA ε ≤ 30.9% was the strongest predictor of AF progression, which was associated with a more than fourfold hazard increase for AF progression (hazard ratio, 4.224; P = .001). LA diameter > 39 mm and maximal LA volume index > 34.2 mL/m(2) were associated with about a twofold hazard increase for AF progression (hazard ratios, 1.994 and 2.649; P = .016 and P = .001, respectively). When adjusted for a model combining maximal LA volume index, E velocity, LA expansion index, and active emptying fraction, LA ε ≤ 30.9% maintained a more than threefold hazard increase for AF progression (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.970; P = .003). CONCLUSIONS: Echocardiographic measures of LA diameter, volume, and mechanical function, including LA ε, were associated with AF progression. LA ε was the strongest independent predictor of AF progression and is expected to serve as a valuable predictor of AF progression.
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