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  • Title: P-wave duration and the risk of atrial fibrillation: Results from the Copenhagen ECG Study.
    Author: Nielsen JB, Kühl JT, Pietersen A, Graff C, Lind B, Struijk JJ, Olesen MS, Sinner MF, Bachmann TN, Haunsø S, Nordestgaard BG, Ellinor PT, Svendsen JH, Kofoed KF, Køber L, Holst AG.
    Journal: Heart Rhythm; 2015 Sep; 12(9):1887-95. PubMed ID: 25916567.
    Abstract:
    BACKGROUND: Results on the association between P-wave duration and the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) are conflicting. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to obtain a detailed description of the relationship between P-wave duration and the risk of AF. METHODS: Using computerized analysis of electrocardiograms from a large primary care population, we evaluated the association between P-wave duration and the risk of AF. Secondary end-points were death from cardiovascular causes and putative ischemic stroke. Data on drug use, comorbidity, and outcomes were collected from administrative registries. RESULTS: A total of 285,933 individuals were included. During median follow-up period of 6.7 years, 9550 developed AF, 9371 died of a cardiovascular cause, and 8980 had a stroke. Compared with the reference group (100-105 ms), individuals with very short (≤89 ms; hazard ratio [HR] 1.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.41-1.81), intermediate (112-119 ms; HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.13-1.31), long (120-129 ms; HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.39-1.62), and very long P-wave duration (≥130 ms; HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.89-2.23) had an increased risk of incident AF. With respect to death from cardiovascular causes, we found an increased risk for very short (≤89 ms; HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.06-1.34), long (120-129 ms; HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.04-1.19), and very long P-wave duration (≥130 ms; HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.21-1.40) compared with the reference group (106-111 ms). Similar but weaker associations were found between P-wave duration and the risk of putative ischemic stroke. CONCLUSION: In a large primary care population we found both short and long P-wave duration to be robustly associated with an increased risk of AF.
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