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  • Title: Following declining human chorionic gonadotropin values in pregnancies of unknown location: when is it safe to stop?
    Author: Cameron KE, Senapati S, Sammel MD, Chung K, Takacs P, Molinaro T, Barnhart KT.
    Journal: Fertil Steril; 2016 Apr; 105(4):953-7. PubMed ID: 26698678.
    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE: To determine if the pattern of decline in hCG curves can discriminate spontaneous abortion (SAB) from ectopic pregnancy (EP). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: University hospitals. PATIENT(S): A total of 1,551 women with symptomatic pregnancy of unknown location (PUL) and decreasing hCG values. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Percentage change in hCG; days and visits to final diagnosis. RESULT(S): Of the 1,551 women with a PUL and declining hCG, 146 were ultimately diagnosed with EP and 1,405 with SAB. An 85% hCG drop within 4 days or a 95% hCG drop within 7 days both ruled out an EP 100% of the time. Applying the 4-day cutoff to this population would have saved 16% of the SAB population (229/1,405) a total of 2,841 person-days and 277 clinical visits. Applying the 7-day cutoff would have saved 9% of the SAB population (126/1,405) a total of 1,294 person-days and 182 clinical visits. These cutoffs were separately validated on a group of 179 EPs collected from three university clinical centers. In that population, each cutoff separately ruled out EP 100% of the time. CONCLUSION(S): The decline in serum hCG is slower in EPs than in SAB and can be used to aid clinicians in the frequency and duration of follow-up. Costs and patient time may be saved by allowing women who meet one of these criteria to be followed less frequently.
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