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  • Title: Predictive value of insulin-like growth factor 1-Child-Turcotte-Pugh score for mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.
    Author: Yao Y, Yang D, Huang Y, Dong M.
    Journal: Clin Chim Acta; 2020 Jun; 505():141-147. PubMed ID: 32119835.
    Abstract:
    BACKGROUND: Previous studies have used a modified version of the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score to include insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) concentrations, denoted the Insulin-like Growth Factor 1-Child-Turcotte-Pugh (IGF-CTP) system. We evaluated the predictive power of IGF-CTP for 1-year mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DC). METHODS: A total of 386 patients with DC were retrospectively analyzed. Comparison of distribution of patients with decompensated cirrhosis according to Insulin-like Growth Factor-1-Child-Turcotte-Pugh and Child-Turcotte-Pugh scores were performed. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) for IGF-CTP, CTP and the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores were evaluated to compare predictive value. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out to determine potential risk factors for 1-y mortality. RESULTS: During the 1-y follow-up, 94 patients died. Significantly more patients (both surviving and non-surviving) were classified as IGF-CTP stage C than CTP stage C. The AUROC of IGF-CTP was significantly higher than that of CTP and MELD in the training and validation cohorts. Multivariate analysis indicated IGF-CTP score and IGF-1 to be independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: The IGF-CTP score is independently associated with mortality for patients with DC, and offers more accurate prediction of 1-y mortality than either CTP or MELD score for these patients.
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