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  • Title: INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC STATE OF RADIOLOGICALLY CONTAMINATED AREAS OF UKRAINE.
    Author: Gunko NV, Korotkova NV.
    Journal: Probl Radiac Med Radiobiol; 2020 Dec; 25():204-219. PubMed ID: 33361836.
    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE: Basing on the integrated assessment to conduct a comparative statistical analysis as of 2016 of thedemographic state of the areas of Ukraine that are recognized as those with the most intensive radiological con-tamination due to the Chornobyl NPP accident.Study object. The population of the regions of Ukraine with the most intensive radiological contamination due tothe Chornobyl NPP accident and the population of Ukraine as a whole (control). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and its regional offices were used asinformation base in this study. Integrated assessment of the demographic situation in a oblast was conducted basedon the calculations of the territorial indices and multidimensional average variable on each region. Demographic,mathematical-statistical, graphic, software-technological methods were used in this study. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Radiologically contaminated regions of Ukraine differ significantly: both by the number ofpopulation (from 5800 people in the Poliske region to 105100 people in the Sarny region), and by the variability inthemedical and demographic indicators; bothone from another and compared to data for the country.The results of the calculations of 10 medical and demographic («positive» and «negative») territorial indices andmultidimensional average variable (P) as integrative assessment of the demographic state have revealed that thebest indicators of the demographic situation in 2016 were in Rokytne (P = 1.249) and Sarny (P = 1.112) regions ofthe Rivne oblast, while the worse indicators were in Kozelets (P = 0.363) and Ripky regions of the Chernihiv oblast.The demographic situation of the Olevsk region of the Zhytomyr oblast (P = 0.947)was the closest to the nationalaverage one. Poliske, Narodychi, Ovruch, Ivankiv and Korosten regions take intermediate position as comparedto theregions of Rivne and Chernihiv oblasts (P = 0.618-0.742). Meta: na osnovi integral'nogo otsiniuvannia zdiĭsnyty porivnial'nyĭ statystychnyĭ analiz stanom na 2016 rik demografichnogo stanu terytoriĭ Ukraïny, iaki vyznano naĭbil'sh radioaktyvno zabrudnenymy vnaslidok avariï naChornobyl's'kiĭ AES.Ob’iekt doslidzhennia: naselennia naĭbil'sh radioaktyvno zabrudnenykh vnaslidok avariï na Chornobyl's'kiĭ AESraĭoniv Ukraïny ta naselennia Ukraïny v tsilomu (kontrol').Materialy i metody doslidzhennia. Informatsiĭnoiu bazoiu doslidzhennia staly dani Derzhavnoï sluzhby statystyky Ukraïny ta ïkh regional'nykh predstavnytstv. Integral'ne otsiniuvannia demografichnoï sytuatsiï v regioni zdiĭsneno na osnovi rozrakhunkiv terytorial'nykh indeksiv ta bagatovymirnoï seredn'oï po kozhnomu raĭonu. Vykorystano demografichni, matematyko-statystychni, grafichni, programno-tekhnologichni metody doslidzhennia.Rezul'taty ĭ vysnovky. Radioaktyvno zabrudneni raĭony Ukraïny znachno rizniat'sia: iak za chysel'nistiu (vid5,8 tys. osib u Polis'komu raĭoni do 105,1 tys. osib u Sarnens'komu), tak i za variatyvnistiu znachen' medyko-demografichnykh pokaznykiv; iak mizh soboiu, tak i porivniano z danymy po kraïni. Rezul'taty obchyslen' 10 medyko-demografichnykh («pozytyvnykh» i «negatyvnykh») terytorial'nykh indeksiv ta bagatovymirnoï seredn'oï (P), iak integral'noï otsinky demografichnogo stanu, zasvidchyly, shcho naĭkrashchoiu u 2016 r. demografichna sytuatsiia bula u Rokytnivs'komu (P = 1,249) ta Sarnens'komu (P = 1,112) raĭonakh Rivnens'koï oblasti, a naĭgirshoiu – u Kozelets'komu (P = 0,363) ta Ripkyns'komu (P = 0,402) raĭonakh Chernigivs'koï oblasti. Naĭbil'sh blyz'koiu do zagal'nonatsional'noï bula demografichna sytuatsiia v Olevs'komu raĭoni Zhytomyrs'koï oblasti (P = 0,947). Polis'kyĭ,Narodyts'kyĭ, Ovruts'kyĭ, Ivankivs'kyĭ ta Korostens'kyĭ raĭony posidaiut' promizhne mistse, porivniano z raĭonamy Rivnens'koï ta Chernigivs'koï oblasteĭ (P = 0,618–0,742).
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