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  • Title: Enhancement of the International prognostic index with β2-microglobulin, platelet count and red blood cell distribution width: a new prognostic model for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in the rituximab era.
    Author: Chen H, Zhong Q, Zhou Y, Qin Y, Yang J, Liu P, He X, Zhou S, Zhang C, Gui L, Yang S, Zhou L, Shi Y.
    Journal: BMC Cancer; 2022 May 27; 22(1):583. PubMed ID: 35624433.
    Abstract:
    BACKGROUND: This study aimed to propose a new user-friendly, cost effective and robust risk model to facilitate risk stratification for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) treated with frontline R-CHOP regimens. METHODS: Data on 998 patients with de novo DLBCL diagnosed between Jan 1st, 2005 and Dec 31st, 2018 at our center, who received frontline R-CHOP or R-CHOP-like regimens, were retrospectively collected. Patients were randomly divided into the training cohort (n = 701) and the validation cohort (n = 297). A new prognostic model for overall survival (OS) was built based on the training cohort. The performance of the new model was compared with International prognostic index (IPI), revised IPI (R-IPI) and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN)-IPI (NCCN-IPI). The new model was validated in the validation cohort. RESULTS: The multivariate analysis of the training cohort showed that the IPI, β2-microglobulin, platelet count and red blood cell distribution width were independent factors for OS, which were incorporated into the new prognostic model. Patients were stratified into low risk, low-intermediate risk, high-intermediate risk, high risk and very high risk groups, with distinct survival outcomes. The new model achieved good C-indexes for 5-year OS prediction of 0.750 (95%CI 0.719-0.781) and 0.733 (95%CI 0.682-0.784) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, and displayed well-fitted calibration curves. The C-index and the time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated better performance of the new model than the IPI, R-IPI and NCCN-IPI in both training and validation cohorts. The integrated Brier score for predicting 5-year OS of the new model was lower than that of the IPI, R-IPI and NCCN-IPI in both cohorts, and decision curve analysis also showed a higher net benefit, indicating the superiority of the new model over the conventional models. CONCLUSION: The new prognostic model might be a useful predictive tool for DLBCL treated with R-CHOP regimens. Further external validation is warranted.
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