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  • Title: Forecasting parasitic gastroenteritis in lambs.
    Author: Paton G, Thomas RJ.
    Journal: Vet Parasitol; 1987 May; 24(3-4):305-11. PubMed ID: 3617434.
    Abstract:
    Incorporating estimated temperature data and assuming non-limiting rainfall, a simulation model was used to compare forecast and actual pasture counts of sheep nematode larvae over a 2-year period. The results indicate that the first possible date of the summer larval rise can be predicted up to 6 weeks in advance of its actual occurrence, enabling control measures to be planned and implemented. Rainfall variation had a marked effect on the degree of disparity between the predicted and actual timing of the rise, indicating the importance of this factor.
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