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  • Title: A birth-life-death model for planning and evaluation of health services programs.
    Author: Ortiz J, Parker R.
    Journal: Health Serv Res; 1971; 6(2):120-43. PubMed ID: 5095653.
    Abstract:
    A Markov model of the birth-life-death process is developed to relate two input decision variables—specific mortality rates by age and group of diseases and specific fertility rates by age—to output criteria involving life expectancy, time-dependent structure of mortality by age and cause of death, and other time-dependent demographic structures. Experimentation in the form of computer simulation is used to determine the input of health services programs in terms of the output criteria when the cost of a program and its estimated alteration of the input variables are known.
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