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  • Title: [Early and delayed cardiac mortality after acute myocardial infarction in the pre-thrombolytic era. Prognosis value of an ergometric test and coronary arteriography].
    Author: Bassan R, Ferreira Cde B, Santos ME, Bessa N, Dorigo DM, Migon Hdos S.
    Journal: Arq Bras Cardiol; 1994 Oct; 63(4):273-80. PubMed ID: 7771943.
    Abstract:
    PURPOSE: To determine the relationship among clinical data, attenuated treadmill stress test (ST), cinecoronaryarteriography (CINE), ejection fraction (EF) with early-late mortality in patients after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). METHODS: Prospective study in 96 consecutive patients aged < 70 with AMI that were submitted to ST and CINE. Assessment of cardiac mortality was made 1-3 years post-AMI (period I) and at the end of follow-up (7-10 years-period II). RESULTS: First year and 10th year mortalities were 8% and 36%, respectively. Positive predictive value for cardiac death in period I was 10% for ST, 7% for multivessel coronary artery disease (MVCAD) and 9% for left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 30, while in period II they were 45%, 42% and 50%, respectively. Actuarial survival analysis (Kaplan-Meyer) disclosed mortality rates of 53% and 20% (p = 0.06) on period II for positive and negative ST, respectively, 45% and 22% (p < 0.03) for MVCAD and single-vessel disease, respectively, and 73% and 35% (p < 0.001) for those with and without left main coronary artery obstruction, respectively. In the multivariate regression analysis (Cox's model), only MVCAD (p < 0.002), LVEF < 30 (p < 0.003), positive ST (p < 0.007) and post-AMI angina (p < 0.01) were independently related to late mortality. CONCLUSION: Both attenuated ST and CINE are poor predictors of post-AMI early and late mortalities. However, multivariate regression analysis disclosed positive ST, MVCAD and LVEF < 30 as independent variables related to late mortality. This data indicate that myocardial ischemia, number of obstructed coronary arteries and poor left ventricular systolic function are the true determinants of post-infarction cardiac mortality.
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