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  • Title: Prognostic value of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurements in alcoholic cirrhosis: a 10-year prospective study.
    Author: Vorobioff J, Groszmann RJ, Picabea E, Gamen M, Villavicencio R, Bordato J, Morel I, Audano M, Tanno H, Lerner E, Passamonti M.
    Journal: Gastroenterology; 1996 Sep; 111(3):701-9. PubMed ID: 8780575.
    Abstract:
    BACKGROUND & AIMS: Different parameters are considered predictors of bleeding and death in alcoholic cirrhosis. The aim of this study was to establish the prognostic value of a prospective and sequential evaluation of portal pressure, variceal size, and Pugh's score in portal-hypertensive patients with alcoholic cirrhosis but no previous bleeding. METHODS: Thirty patients were evaluated for 42 +/- 5 months (median, 39 months). After baseline studies, 30 patients underwent an additional evaluation (follow-up 1; median, 10 months), 20 patients a second evaluation (follow-up 2; median, 25 months), and 13 patients a third evaluation (follow-up 3; median, 45 months). No prophylactic treatment for bleeding was given. End points were bleeding and/or death. RESULTS: Seventeen patients died, and 10 patients bled. At follow-up 1, portal pressure decreased both in survivors and nonbleeders (from 18.7 +/- 1.0 to 15.2 +/- 1.3 mm Hg [P < 0.01] and from 18.9 +/- 0.8 to 16.5 +/- 1.0 mm Hg [P < 0.05], respectively). On multivariate analysis (Cox model), portal pressure at follow-up 1 had the best prognostic and independent value for both bleeding and survival. Subsequent studies showed similar trends. CONCLUSIONS: Measurements of portal pressure provide unique prognostic information for predicting portal hypertensive-related bleeding and mortality in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.
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